With the semi finals done and dusted for another year, it’s time for one of our most popular annual articles – let’s find out which countries have had their qualification rates improved the most by reaching the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2024 and who has taken a knock with their DNQ from Tuesday or Thursday night.

Wondering how these rates have fluctuated over the last half decade? Take a look here and find out! You can find the rates for 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 and 2023

Just to remind you, the formula for working out the percentages is:

Country:  (number of qualifications/potential number of qualifications) x 100 = percent qualified for

Any countries with the same percentage have been listed alphabetically. Take a look below to see whose rate has improved following 2023, who has dented their odds and for who staying home might have been a better idea!

Ukraine (18/18) = 100% (no change)

Luxembourg (1/1) = 100% (+100%)

Sweden (19/20) = 95.00% (+0.27%)

Russia (15/16) = 93.75% (no change)

Bosnia & Herzegovina (9/10) = 90% (no change)

Türkiye (8/9) = 88.88% (no change)

Greece (17/20) = 85.00% (+0.79% )

Norway (17/20) = 85.00% (+0.79%)

Armenia (13/16) = 81.25% (+1.25%)

Serbia (13/16) = 81.25% (+1.25%)

Azerbaijan (13/16) = 81.25% (-5.41%)

Romania (14/18) = 77.77% (no change)

Australia (7/9) = 77.77% (-9.73%)

Hungary (10/13) = 76.92% (no change)

Israel (13/20) = 65.00% (+1.85%)

Lithuania (13/20) = 65.00% (+1.85)

Moldova (13/20) = 65.00% (-3.42%)

Cyprus (12/19) = 63.15% (+2.04%)

Finland (12/20) = 60.00% (+2.11%)

Denmark (12/20) = 60.00 (-3.15%)

Austria (9/16) = 56.25% (+2.92%)

Albania (11/20) = 55.00% (-2.89%)

Iceland (11/20) = 55.00% (-2.89%)

Croatia (9/18) = 50.00% (+2.95%)

Estonia (10/20) = 50.00% (+2.64%)

Georgia (8/16) = 50.00% (+3.34%)

The Netherlands (10/20) = 50.00% (+2.64%)

Portugal (9/18) = 50.00% (+2.95%)

Malta (10/20) = 50.00% (-2.63%)

Ireland (9/20) = 45.00% (+2.90%)

Switzerland (9/20) = 45.00% (+2.90%)

Belgium (9/20) = 45.00% (-2.36%)

Poland (8/18) = 44.44% (-2.61%)

Czechia (5/12) = 41.66% (-3.79%)

Slovenia (8/20) = 40.00% (+3.16%)

Belarus (6/16) = 37.50% (no change)

Bulgaria (5/14) 35.71% (no change)

Latvia (7/20) = 35.00% (+3.43%)

North Macedonia (6/18) = 33.33% (no change)

San Marino (3/14) = 21.42% (-1.64%)

Montenegro (2/12) = 16.66% (no change)

Andorra (0/6) = 0% (no change)

Slovakia (0/4) = 0% (no change)

Monaco (0/3) = 0% (no change)

The 10 countries (11, actually, there was a tie again!!) who saw the biggest increase in their qualification rates thanks to the results of the Eurovision 2024 semi finals were:

1. Luxembourg (1/1) = 100% (+100%)
2. Latvia (7/20) = 35.00% (+3.43%)
3. Georgia (8/16) = 50.00% (+3.34%)
4. Slovenia (8/20) = 40.00% (+3.16%)
5. Portugal (9/18) = 50.00% (+2.95%)
6. Austria (9/16) = 56.25% (+2.92%)
7. Ireland (9/20) = 45.00% (+2.90%)
8. Switzerland (9/20) = 45.00% (+2.90%)
9. Croatia (9/18) = 50.00% (+2.95%)
10. Estonia (10/20) = 50.00% (+2.64%)
11. The Netherlands (10/20) = 50.00% (+2.64%)

With Luxembourg’s much publicised return to Eurovision this year, they took part in their first ever semi final on Tuesday – and the fact that they qualified from it means they currently hold a qualification rate of… eh… 100% – aren’t statistics fun?! Aside from this quirk, Latvia were the next biggest gainer with their rate increasing by 3.43% after Dons got them back to a Eurovision final for the first time since 2016. Similarly, Georgia and Slovenia’s generally low qualification rates see their rankings gain significantly for 2024, while Croatia, Estonia and the Netherlands round off the group, all reaching the 50% mark of finals qualified for alongside Georgia and Portugal. Interestingly, only 7 of these countries made it to the final in 2023, with our 3 biggest gainers all having been absent from Saturday night’s final for many years… 3 decades in the case of Luxembourg!!

As we know, not everyone can fair so well at Europe’s favourite TV show. The following countries had their rates dented the most by missing on 2024’s Grand Final – as there are only 11 non-qualifiers this year, we’ve included them all!

1. Australia (7/9) = 77.77% (-9.73%)
2. Azerbaijan (13/16) = 81.25% (-5.41%)
3. Czechia (5/12) = 41.66% (-3.79%)
4. Moldova (13/20) = 65.00% (-3.42%)
5. Denmark (12/20) = 60.00 (-3.15%)
6. Albania (11/20) = 55.00% (-2.89%)
7. Iceland (11/20) = 55.00% (-2.89%)
8. Malta (10/20) = 50.00% (-2.63%)
9. Poland (8/18) = 44.44% (-2.61%)
10. Belgium (9/20) = 45.00% (-2.36%)
11. San Marino (3/14) = 21.42% (-1.64%)

Missing out on their only their 2nd Eurovision final to date, Australia’s qualification suffered the biggest knock, taking almost 10% off their rating. Similarly, Azerbaijan’s 2nd consecutive year of not qualifying shaves 5.41% off their qualification rate. At the other end of the scale, Poland, Belgium and San Marino’s already low qualification rates take another hit, which poor San Marino now having been present at only 21.42% of Eurovision finals – the lowest of any country currently taking part in the competition. It’s also worth noting that 6 of these countries were present in the final of 2023 and that 3 of them have won the contest before – proving just how unpredictable and oft cruel Eurovision can be!

For 13 countries, their qualification ratings remained the same – yes, we know only one of them was actually taking part, but still!!

1. Ukraine (18/18) = 100% (no change)
2. Russia (15/16) = 93.75% (no change)
3. Bosnia & Herzegovina (9/10) = 90% (no change)
4. Türkiye (8/9) = 88.88% (no change)
5. Romania (14/18) = 77.77% (no change)
6. Hungary (10/13) = 76.92% (no change)
7. Belarus (6/16) = 37.50% (no change)
8. Bulgaria (5/14) 35.71% (no change)
9. North Macedonia (6/18) = 33.33% (no change)
10. Montenegro (2/12) = 16.66% (no change)
11. Andorra (0/6) = 0% (no change)
12. Slovakia (0/4) = 0% (no change)
13. Monaco (0/3) = 0% (no change)

For almost 2 decades, Ukraine’s qualification rate at the Eurovision Song Contest remains 100% – though they are now joined by Luxembourg, who also have a 100% rating. With rumblings that Montenegro and Bosnia & Herzegovina are eyeing a return to the contest next year, and the return of Luxembourg possibly inspiring other smaller nations like Monaco and Andorra back to the fold, how much longer will these rates remain stationary?

What do you think? Do any of these rates surprise you? Who do you think will keep a steady qualification rate in the years to come?

Let us know what you think!

Author: James Scanlan
Source: Eurovision Ireland
Image Source: YouTube