It’s always one of our most read articles of the year! You loved it when we covered this in 2018, 2019, and 2021, so it’s time to crunch the numbers again for 2022! With the semi finals done for another year, it’s time to check in and see whose qualification rate has improved after reaching the final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2022 and whose DNQ has really dented their ratings.

Just to remind you, the formula for working out the percentages is:

Country:  (number of qualifications/potential number of qualifications) x 100 = percent qualified for

Any countries with the same percentage have been listed alphabetically. Take a look below to see whose rate has improved following 2021, who has dented their odds and for who staying home might have been a better idea!

Ukraine (16/16) = 100% (no change)

Sweden (17/18) = 94.44% (+0.33%)

Russia (15/16) = 93.75% (no change)

Azerbaijan (13/14) = 92.85% (+0.55%)

Bosnia & Herzegovina (9/10) = 90% (no change)

Greece (16/18) = 88.88% (+0.65%)

Turkey (8/9) = 88.88% (no change)

Australia (6/7) = 85.71% (+2.38%)

Norway (15/18) = 83.33% (+0.98%)

Romania (14/17) = 82.35% (+1.10%)

Armenia (11/14) = 78.57% (+1.65%)

Serbia (11/14) = 78.57% (+1.65%)

Hungary (10/13) = 76.92% (no change)

Denmark (12/18) = 66.66% (-3.92%)

Moldova (12/18) = 66.66% (+1.96)

Iceland (11/18) = 61.11% (+2.29%)

Israel (11/18) 61.11% (-3.59%)

Lithuania (11/18) = 61.11% (+2.29%)

Cyprus (10/17) = 58.82% (-3.68%)

Albania (10/18) = 55.55% (-3.27%)

Finland (10/18) = 55.55% (+2.61%)

Malta (10/18) = 55.55% (-3.27%)

Austria (7/14) = 50% (-3.84)

Georgia (7/14) = 50% (-3.84%)

The Netherlands (9/18) = 50% (+2.95)

Belgium (8/18) = 44.44% (+3.27)

Estonia (8/18) = 44.44% (+3.27%)

Ireland (8/18) = 44.44% (-2.61)

Croatia (7/16) 43.75% (-2.91)

Poland (7/16) = 43.75% (+3.75%)

Portugal (7/16) =43.75% (+3.75%)

Czech Republic (4/10) = 40% (+6.67)

Switzerland (7/18) = 38.88% (+3.59%)

Belarus (6/16) = 37.50% (no change)

Bulgaria (5/14) 35.71% (-2.75%)

Latvia (6/18) = 33.33% (-1.96%)

North Macedonia (6/18) = 33.33% (-1.96%)

Slovenia (6/18) = 33.33% (-1.96%)

San Marino (3/12) = 25% (-2.27%)

Montenegro (2/12) = 16.66% (-1.52%)

Andorra (0/6) = 0% (no change)

Slovakia (0/4) = 0% (no change)

Monaco (0/3) = 0% (no change)

The 10 countries who saw the biggest increase in their qualification rates thanks to the results of the Eurovision 2022 semi finals were:

1. Czech Republic (4/10) = 40% (+6.67)
2. Switzerland (7/18) = 38.88% (+3.59%)
3. Poland (7/16) =43.75% (+3.75%)
4. Portugal (7/16) =43.75% (+3.75%)
5. Belgium (8/18) = 44.44% (+3.27%)
6. Estonia (8/18) = 44.44% (+3.27%)
7. The Netherlands (9/18) = 50% (+2.95)
8. Finland (10/18) = 55.55% (+2.61%)
9. Australia (6/7) = 85.71% (+2.38%)
10. Iceland (11/18) = 61.11% (+2.29%)
11. Lithuania (11/18) = 61.11% (+2.29%)

The biggest gainer of the year is the Czech Republic, adding a hefty 6.67% to their qualification rate after We Are Domi gave us a spectacular lightshow in Turin on Thursday night. Switzerland continue to gain momentum after their 3 consecutive qualification as do Belgium, Estonia, Poland and Portugal, whose usual lacklustre qualification rates receive a significant boost. Australia, Finland, Iceland and Lithuania are the only countries in this set to have qualified for more than 50% of the finals they have entered and still see an increase their numbers after this year’s semis. Interestingly, only 4 of these countries (Australia, Czech Republic, Estonia and Poland) were not present in the final of 2021 – meaning the other 6 improved their percentages two years in a row!

But of course, not everyone can fair so well at Europe’s favourite TV show. Here are the countries whose ratings took the most damage by not qualifying for the 2022 Eurovision final:

1. Denmark (12/18) = 66.66% (-3.92%)
2. Austria (7/14) = 50% (-3.84)
3. Georgia (7/14) = 50% (-3.84)
4. Cyprus (10/17) = 58.82% (-3.68%)
5. Israel (11/18) 61.11% (-3.59%)
6. Albania (10/18) = 55.55% (-3.27%)
7. Malta (10/18) = 55.55% (-3.27%)
8. Croatia (7/16) 43.75% (-2.91)
9. Bulgaria (5/14) 35.71% (-2.75%)
10. Ireland (8/18) = 44.44% (-2.61)

Denmark’s second consecutive DNQ on Tuesday night saw them take the biggest knock to their rating, dipping by almost 4%. Austria and Georgia also saw a significant drop and have both now qualified for exactly half of the finals they’ve entered – and it’s been a few years since we’ve seen either now, 2018 for Austria and 2016 for Georgia! Cyprus’ 6 year streak of appearing at the final was ended on Thursday night, but the country still has one of the highest ratings amongst the countries with the biggest losses, second to only Denmark and Israel. Bulgaria’s weak qualification record falls further to almost 1/3, while Ireland’s run of non-qualification brings their rate down to 44.44%. Curiously, 6 off these countries were finalists for the 2021 contest – just goes to show what a fickle creature Eurovision can be!

9 countries saw absolutely no change in their qualification rating – but for 8 off them, that was because they didn’t compete!

1. Ukraine (16/16) = 100% (no change)
2. Russia (15/16) = 93.75% (no change)
3. Bosnia & Herzegovina (9/10) = 90%
4. Turkey (8/9) = 88.88%
5. Hungary (10/13) = 76.92%
6. Belarus (6/16) = 37.50%
7. Andorra (0/6) = 0%
8. Slovakia (0/4) = 0%
9. Monaco (0/3) = 0%

To date, Ukraine are the only country to retain a 100% qualification rate for the final, with bookies suspecting that Kalush Orchestra could claim the country’s 3rd Eurovision win in Turin! Monaco still linger at the very bottom of the list with 0/3 – but if rumours are true, we could see the principality back in the contest for 2023!

What do you think? Do any of these rates surprise you? Who do you think will keep a steady qualification rate in the years to come?

Let us know what you think!

Author: James Scanlan
Source: Eurovision Ireland
Image Source: YouTube