As you loved these articles in 2018 and 2019, we knew we had to crunch the numbers again for 2021! Now that the semi finals are done and dusted, we can take a look at whose all important qualification rate has benefitted the most from reaching Saturday night’s final – and who really took a knock!

Just to remind you, the formula for working out the percentages is:

Country:  (number of qualifications/potential number of qualifications) x 100 = percent qualified for

Any countries with the same percentage have been listed alphabetically. Take a look below to see whose rate has improved following 2021, who has dented their odds and for who staying home might have been a better idea!

Ukraine (15/15) = 100% (no change)

Sweden (16/17) = 94.11% (+0.36%)

Russia (15/16) = 93.75% (+0.42%)

Azerbaijan (12/13) = 92.30% (+0.64%)

Bosnia & Herzegovina (9/10) = 90% (no change)

Turkey (8/9) = 88.88% (no change)

Greece (15/17) = 88.23% (+0.73%)

Australia (5/6) = 83.33% (-16.67%)

Norway (14/17) = 82.35% (+1.10%)

Romania (13/16) = 81.25% (-5.41%)

Serbia (10/13) = 76.92% (+1.92%)

Armenia (10/13) = 76.92% (no change)

Hungary (10/13) = 76.92% (no change)

Denmark (12/17) = 70.58% (-4.42%)

Israel (11/17) = 64.70% (+2.20%)

Moldova (11/17) = 64.70% (+2.11%)

Cyprus (10/16) = 62.50% (+2.50%)

Albania (10/17) = 58.82% (+0.49%)

Iceland (10/17) = 58.82% (+2.57%)

Lithuania (10/17) = 58.82% (+2.57%)

Malta (10/17) = 58.82% (+2.57%)

Austria (7/13) = 53.84% (-4.49%)

Georgia (7/13) = 53.84% (-4.49%)

Finland (9/17) = 52.94% (+2.94%)

The Netherlands (8/17) = 47.05% (+3.30%)

Ireland (8/17) = 47.05% (-2.95%)

Croatia (7/15) = 46.66% (-3.34%)

Estonia (7/17) = 41.17% (-2.58%)

Belgium (7/17) = 41.17% (+3.67%)

Portugal (6/15) = 40% (+4.29%)

Poland (6/15) = 40% (-2.85%)

Bulgaria (5/13) = 38.46% (+5.13%)

Belarus (6/16) = 37.50% (no change)

Switzerland (6/17) = 35.29% (+4.04%)

North Macedonia (6/17) = 35.29% (-2.21%)

Latvia (6/17) = 35.29% (-2.21%)

Slovenia (6/17) = 35.29% (-2.21%)

Czech Republic (3/9) = 33.33% (-4.17%)

San Marino (3/11) = 27.27% (+7.27%)

Montenegro (2/11) = 18.18% (no change)

Andorra (0/6) = 0% (no change)

Slovakia (0/4) = 0% (no change)

Monaco (0/3) = 0% (no change)

The 10 countries who have improved the most in their qualification rates thanks to the results of the Eurovision 2021 semi finals are:

1. San Marino (3/11) = 27.27% (+7.27%)
2. Bulgaria (5/13) = 38.46% (+5.13%)
3. Portugal (6/15) = 40% (+4.29%)
4. Switzerland (6/17) = 35.29% (+4.04%)
5. Belgium (7/17) = 41.17% (+3.67%)
6. The Netherlands (8/17) = 47.05% (+3.30%)
7. Finland (9/17) = 52.94% (+2.94%)
8. Iceland (10/17) = 58.82% (+2.57%)
9. Lithuania (10/17) = 58.82% (+2.57%)
10. Malta (10/17) = 58.82% (+2.57%)

Unsurprisingly, San Marino top our list as their 3rd Eurovision final pushes their qualification rate up over 7%. Bulgaria, Portugal and Switzerland also all make significant gains thanks to having rather poor qualification rates in previous competitions. By being the hosts this year and having a spot in the final already, the Netherlands have also improving on their rate – if they make it to the final next year, they’ll reach 50%!

But of course, while some countries are flying high, others have not fair so well. Here are the 10 countries whose qualification rates have been most damaged by not qualifying for the Eurovision 2021 final:

1. Australia (5/6) = 83.33% (-16.67%)
2. Romania (13/16) = 81.25% (-5.41%)
3. Austria (7/13) = 53.84% (-4.49%)
4. Georgia (7/13) = 53.84% (-4.49%)
5. Denmark (12/17) = 70.58% (-4.42%)
6. Czech Republic (3/9) = 33.33% (-4.17%)
7. Croatia (7/15) = 46.66% (-3.34%)
8. Ireland (8/17) = 47.05% (-2.95%)
9. Poland (6/15) = 40% (-2.85%)
10. Estonia (7/17) = 41.17% (-2.58%)

Having entered fewer Eurovision’s Australia’s qualification takes the biggest hit from missing their first final, reducing their score by nearly 17%. Romania’s third consecutive non-qualification also reduces their percentage significantly. At the other end of the scale, Poland and Estonia’s fairly lacklustre qualification rates have meant their percentages haven’t dipped that much.

Ten countries also saw no change to their qualification rankings at all this year – though admittedly, for 90% of them, it was because of not taking part!

1. Ukraine (15/15) = 100%
2. Bosnia & Herzegovina (9/10) = 90%
3. Turkey (8/9) = 88.88%
4. Armenia (10/13) = 76.92%
5. Hungary (10/13) = 76.92%
6. Belarus (6/16) = 37.50%
7. Montenegro (2/11) = 18.18%
8. Andorra (0/6) = 0%
9. Slovakia (0/4) = 0%
10. Monaco (0/3) = 0%

Ukraine are the only ones on this list competing this year and thanks to Go_A reaching Saturday night’s final, the country has held on to their perfect qualification rate.

What do you think? Do any of these rates surprise you? Who do you think will keep a steady qualification rate in the years to come?

Let us know what you think!

Author: James Scanlan
Source: Eurovision Ireland
Image Source: YouTube