Eurovision 2018

#BETTING ODDS – How has this weekend changed the odds for Eurovision 2018?

eurovision 2018

A couple of weeks ago, we published an article taking a lot at the first betting odds for Eurovision 2018, despite the notable lack of any songs. Many of you said it was far too early to call, but the experts disagreed!

Now we have no less than 9 entries for Lisbon, with more expected by the end of the week. How has this changed the landscape as far as the bookies are concerned? In particular, after this mega weekend of finals and semifinals, who is on the rise and who has taken a tumble?

Here are the Top 10 contenders for Eurovision 2018 taken from below!


As we can see, Bulgaria has risen to the top ahead of early favourites Australia. Following the first semi-final of Eesti Laul on Saturday, Estonia have risen – much like Elina’s dress – to 2nd. The leak of one of Saara Aalto’s potential entries for Finland has also seen the country jump up into the Top 10. But perhaps the biggest jump comes from the Czech Republic, who were 39th last time we looked at these odds and are now 8th! Italy on the other hand are not fairing as well, and have tumbled from 3rd to 14th following the results of Sanremo this weekend.

At the other end of the table, these countries are thought to have to the lowest odds of winning in Lisbon:


Switzerland, San Marino, Macedonia, Iceland and Ireland are all still milling around the bottom, with the noticeable addition of Georgia. Romania’s odds have also fallen significantly from 11th to 35th – could this have anything to do with the exit of Serena from Selectia Nationala last week? Similarly, following the first semi final of Söngvakeppnin 2018, Iceland’s predicted chances of winning Eurovision have decreased further, falling one place to 37th.

According to these collective odds, the scoreboard (ONLY for songs already chosen) looks something like this:

  • Czech Republic
  • Spain
  • Denmark
  • France
  • Italy
  • UK
  • Malta
  • Albania
  • Switzerland

Does your Top look something like this? You might be on to something! 😉

What do you think of these odds? Is it possible to accurately predict a winner so far before the contest even starts? Who would you put money on winning Eurovision 2018?

Let us know what you think!

Author: James Scanlan


Image Source: EurovisionIreland,

4 replies »

  1. How can bookmakers come up with odds at this stage when the vast majority of songs haven’t been chosen yet? I’ve never really understood that.

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