Eurovision 2018

#BETTING ODDS 2019 – How has this weekend changed things?

Well, what a busy weekend it’s been! Australia’s first ever Eurovision event, Montevizija, the UK’s Eurovision: You Decide and Sanremo has just finished… just about!

We know have another 4 songs lined up for Tel Aviv – double the amount we had Friday morning!! – but how have these decisions affected the betting odds? Who has gone up, who is heading down and which semi finalists have changed their countries predictions?

As always, we’ll start by looking at the Top 10. Has there been much movement since we last looked?

The Top 10 haven’t changed much this weekend, other than the addition of Norway. Russia and Sweden still top the odds, but this weekend’s shows in Italy and Australia have seen them jump to 3rd and 4th from 6th and 7th respectively. The first semifinal in Ukraine has seen them dip from 5th to 7th, Romania have edged up to 5th, while Finland is down to 8th and Denmark has tumbled to 18th…

At the other end of the scale, the Bottom 10 looks like this:

Again, there hasn’t been a lot of movement in and out of the Bottom 10. Only Hungary have dipped down following the 1st semi final of A Dal, while Iceland have jumped from 35th to 27th. Within the Bottom 10 itself there has been a fair amount of movement though, with San Marino crashing down 9 places, Croatia going up 7 and interestingly, last night’s Montevizija final hasn’t seen Montenegro move at all and are still 38th overall!

So, out of the 8 countries that now have their songs, their odds are as follows:

3rd – Italy (new entry)

4th – Australia (new entry)

11th – France (no change)

25th – Spain (Up 4)

28th – Czechia (Down 4)

31st – United Kingdom (new entry)

38th – Montenegro (new entry)

42nd – Albania (Down 2)

We’ve still got around 80% of the songs for Tel Aviv still to be released – so I think these odds are far from finalised! What do you think? Are your favourites fairing as well as you’d hoped?

Author: James Scanlan
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4 replies »

    • You’re very welcome Gerard, glad you like the article! Do listen to Italy again, it’s definitely a grower. Wasn’t overly impressed the first time I heard it, but after a few listens I do see (hear!) potential!

  1. Russia are nailed on to win methinks. No other songs at the minute look like they stand a remote chance of even coming close to stopping the Sergey juggernaut.

    • You say that, but last year Bulgaria were odds-on favourite to win right up until they released the song – when they promptly went down to 4th or 5th. I don’t doubt Sergey has something amazing in store, can’t wait to see what!

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